Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 2.514220 3.043018 3.637893 4.353994 5.189786 6.131496 7.269770
2025-04-13 1.716641 2.366362 3.179854 4.262220 5.652103 7.363323 9.614110
2025-04-20 1.345677 2.069525 3.059710 4.487719 6.464011 9.067979 12.716613
2025-04-27 1.075146 1.822674 2.927778 4.635506 7.152145 10.658377 15.829100
2025-05-04 0.901713 1.666971 2.877965 4.863869 7.949880 12.453384 19.379062
2025-05-11 0.722515 1.454431 2.691739 4.839038 8.346060 13.688104 22.223942
2025-05-18 0.560916 1.229858 2.437136 4.651078 8.443519 14.459275 24.421944
2025-05-25 0.431914 1.031328 2.185092 4.416949 8.418017 15.011726 26.302104
2025-06-01 0.356944 0.920466 2.069162 4.397707 8.739593 16.132371 29.153846
2025-06-08 0.301513 0.836709 1.988225 4.426248 9.139395 17.405843 32.341744
2025-06-15 0.252372 0.753964 1.892701 4.408704 9.445810 18.535592 35.362485
2025-06-22 0.197703 0.641630 1.711217 4.187162 9.334941 18.911616 37.102281
2025-06-29 0.165553 0.579895 1.633690 4.177193 9.645571 20.094371 40.392213
2025-07-06 0.137383 0.520458 1.549668 4.139942 9.896632 21.188792 43.610214
2025-07-13 0.126625 0.510126 1.585229 4.379135 10.746618 23.486211 49.199457
2025-07-20 0.113285 0.487316 1.583982 4.530937 11.424552 25.500095 54.390190
2025-07-27 0.104275 0.476282 1.612188 4.757483 12.287386 27.940573 60.545577
2025-08-03 0.088164 0.434045 1.544484 4.734072 12.587392 29.269718 64.637347
2025-08-10 0.070323 0.377623 1.422368 4.550002 12.496144 29.785264 67.159905
2025-08-17 0.054816 0.323093 1.292023 4.320434 12.267311 29.987203 69.058536
2025-08-24 0.046414 0.295588 1.241208 4.301599 12.543084 31.281674 73.250755
2025-08-31 0.040110 0.274961 1.208602 4.329611 12.937161 32.860352 78.123109
2025-09-07 0.034027 0.252265 1.163205 4.312406 13.213693 34.196609 82.564543